According to the Gartner Hype Cycle for 2010, “Cloud Computing” and “Cloud/Web Platforms” have reached the infamous “Peak of Inflated Expectations” and are already sliding down like a fog into the unavoidable “Trough of Disillusionment”. But the story doesn’t end there as the cloud is expected to rise back upward and eventually reach the ultimate “Plateau of Productivity” within the next 2 to 5 years. What does this mean for EMS? Well, first, it means that there is probably still plenty of confusion about what the “cloud” actually refers to and its waning excitement at the moment means the enthusiasm of its promoters is more easily dismissed as the ramblings of zealots “with their heads simply stuck in the cloud.” However, it is the critical review and appropriate response to technology offerings in just this state that separates the industry leaders from the rest of the pack.
Notice that I did not say the “full adoption” of a new technology, but rather the “appropriate response” to its availability. As you will see in this post, my forecast of cloud computing is that tomorrow will only be “partly cloudy”.
According to Wikipedia, ”cloud computing describes a new supplement, consumption, and delivery model for IT services based on Internet protocols” (IP). This means that the cloud really becomes just another computing resource similar to existing enterprise servers except that these cloud-based resources are physically located (and maintained) somewhere else in the world and access is typically provided on a subscription basis that allows them to “scale” (increase or (more…)